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Q:
What building types are hot in China right now?
A:
The simple answer is that according to all accounts,
all market sectors and building types are "hot"
right now throughout China. It will be interesting to
see how foreign investment treats the recent devaluation
of the renminbi. If they think that the renminbi will
stay put, pegged against a basket of foreign currencies,
then foreign investors would be wise to cash out and
pull their investments in China for good gains. If they
think that this devaluation is the first step to further
steps in lowering the renminbi to even the currency
trade among WTO countries, then expect an influx of
foreign investment into an already overheated market.
This influx of capital will tend to hedge that. By lowering
the renminbi, investors will reap gains above the initial
returns of the investment due to the currency exchange.
In short, it is likely that all market sectors and building
types will continue to be hot in China for the foreseeable
future.
One sector that seems to be hotter than any other in
China is luxury housing. There are many brand new, high
rise luxury buildings throughout cities like Beijing
and Shanghai. The problem seems to be that they are
sold out, but empty. This "bubble" has many
within China worried that the market may not realize
the gains that the speculative investors have gambled
on by purchasing luxury housing units in the hopes of
turning a profit within a period of time. Just when
that period of time ends will be when there is a bursting
of the housing bubble in China.
Commercial property, including retail, office space
and hospitality, are in demand throughout the country
and there is an effort being rolled out to improve public
service buildings like schools, hospitals and social
service buildings throughout China, but starting in
the Western provinces.
Thanks to Paul Doherty, AIA. He is
the managing director of General
Land Corp. a full-service, global real estate development
firm with a focus on the Asia Pacific market. Paul is
a thought leader, strategist and integrator of technology
and business. He is an author, educator, analyst and
consultant to Fortune 500 organizations, global government
agencies and prominent institutions and is on the board
of directors of the International Facility Management
Association (IFMA). He can be contacted at pdoherty@general-land.com.
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