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Q:
I have heard that the
Chinese currency will be unpegged from the US Dollar.
What does this mean to my business in China?
A:
On July 21, 2005, the Chinese government no longer is
linking the value of its currency to the value of the
US Dollar. Linking one currency to another is called
"pegging". To create a true market economy,
nations must value their currency against other currencies
in order to establish a reflection of market demand.
China began this process in 1994. In 1997, during the
Asian financial crisis, China decided to link, or peg,
its currency to the US Dollar in order to create a "stable"
currency to buy. What this also did was create a currency
that does not truly reflect the value of the Chinese
currency, called the Yuan, also known as the Renminbi,
or RMB, which translates to "the People's money"
in Chinese. In 2001, China agreed to begin the transition
from pegging the RMB to the US Dollar in order to be
fully integrated into the World Trade Organization (WTO).
One of the major reason's why the WTO requires China
to de-peg from the Dollar is that Chinese goods and
services are artificially cheaper for export with the
peg to the Dollar.
So what does the change in China's
pegging its currency to a basket, or grouping, of other
currencies mean to a US-based firm? If you have set
up your China contracts to be paid in RMB, you will
get less cash for your goods or services. If you have
your China contracts to be paid in US Dollars, you will
receive approximately 3-5% more cash for your goods
and services. If you are a building product manufacturer
who exports goods to China, your goods will be cheaper
for Chinese customers to purchase. If you are an importer
of Chinese goods or services into the US, your imports
will be more expensive for US customers. If you are
traveling to China, your hotel will be cheaper to stay
at as will your food and entertainment bills.
The rule of thumb of the revaluation
of the RMB is that if you are US-based, this was a good
thing, if you are China-based, things will be moderately
more painful for the near future, but the balance between
the two nations in the long term will become more equal.
.
Thanks to Paul Doherty, AIA. He is
the managing director of General
Land Corp. a full-service, global real estate development
firm with a focus on the Asia Pacific market. Paul is
a thought leader, strategist and integrator of technology
and business. He is an author, educator, analyst and
consultant to Fortune 500 organizations, global government
agencies and prominent institutions and is on the board
of directors of the International Facility Management
Association (IFMA). He can be contacted at pdoherty@general-land.com.
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